Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.820243e-05 0.000056 0.000065 0.000075 0.000086 0.000098 0.000111
2024-12-29 3.683061e-05 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000090 0.000109 0.000131
2025-01-05 2.909784e-05 0.000041 0.000054 0.000072 0.000093 0.000118 0.000148
2025-01-12 2.295082e-05 0.000035 0.000050 0.000069 0.000094 0.000124 0.000161
2025-01-19 1.796756e-05 0.000030 0.000045 0.000066 0.000094 0.000128 0.000172
2025-01-26 1.449166e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000064 0.000094 0.000133 0.000183
2025-02-02 1.298013e-05 0.000025 0.000042 0.000066 0.000100 0.000144 0.000203
2025-02-09 1.107354e-05 0.000023 0.000040 0.000066 0.000103 0.000152 0.000218
2025-02-16 1.057050e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000112 0.000167 0.000243
2025-02-23 9.125898e-06 0.000021 0.000040 0.000071 0.000115 0.000175 0.000258
2025-03-02 7.174034e-06 0.000018 0.000037 0.000067 0.000112 0.000175 0.000263
2025-03-09 5.814123e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000065 0.000112 0.000177 0.000271
2025-03-16 4.540788e-06 0.000014 0.000032 0.000063 0.000113 0.000183 0.000286
2025-03-23 3.552979e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000062 0.000115 0.000190 0.000302
2025-03-30 2.728669e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000061 0.000116 0.000196 0.000317
2025-04-06 1.983349e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000059 0.000115 0.000200 0.000328
2025-04-13 1.363039e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000056 0.000113 0.000201 0.000337
2025-04-20 9.604657e-07 0.000007 0.000022 0.000054 0.000113 0.000205 0.000348
2025-04-27 8.235786e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000056 0.000119 0.000218 0.000374
2025-05-04 6.233200e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000056 0.000122 0.000226 0.000392
2025-05-11 5.952269e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000060 0.000131 0.000245 0.000427
2025-05-18 4.478905e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000060 0.000134 0.000254 0.000446
2025-05-25 2.625144e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000057 0.000131 0.000253 0.000451